by 
Final is in quotes to acknowledge that the process is never final. But there is a necessary balance to having some stability in a core process such as Framework Foresight and keeping it up-to-date. Based on feedback to the update posted a few weeks back, it seemed useful enough to do one more tweak before we leave it alone for a while.
As I suspected, there was a sense that it was getting close to “too busy.”
- The first fix was to remove the labels of the alternative futures using our version of the Archetype technique. So collapse, new equilibrium, and transformation were removed. I also like this change because it suggests a more open approach to generating the alternative scenarios. While we fairly recently adopted the modified Archetype approach as our “starter” technique, we strongly suggest that any number of techniques can be used, as we described in our scenario overview article several years ago.
- The second was in the second half or “influencing” part of the cone. After implications, previously, the activity was labelled “issues and offerings.” This reflects that the implications generate issue for identifying strategy issues (in a strategy project) or new offerings (in an innovation project). This is still true, but in both cases, the next thing to do is to identify responses or “options” for action. I realized that in our project work the last few years that we more routinely referred to this step as the “options” step, as we like that it more directly connotes action!
There you have it – again! Just a reminder that I had a a recent piece published in the journal Foresight that reviews the updated process. – Andy Hines
Do you think there would be any benefit to a Horizon Scan app? Something for the average user?
possibly. Someone developed a phone app for our scanning assignments. it was sorta handy, but not a big difference maker.