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The HAT technique at UH Foresight suggests that transformation emerges from one of two pathways: Collapse (more abrupt) or New Equilibrium (more gradual). We’ve been talking about the Collapse pathway to After Capitalism, so let’s turn our attention to the gradual loopy New Equilibrium path.
In a previous post I suggested that the gradual approach of New Equilibrium is more accurately described as loopy. Stops and starts. Two steps forward and one back (which is still one forward). It’s very similar to what happens with client project work. Reluctant to change; willing; questioning; moving forward; pulling it back.
I have also described it in terms of people or the system “chickening out.” As the change starts to get more transformative, people and the system get scared and retreat back to safety. Eventually they build up courage and try again. And chicken out again. The advances each time eventually get us to transformation.
Let’s try a little experiment here. Some of you might know of my semi-obsessive love for The Matrix … and Morpheus. I’ve started using the short clip below to get at why change is loopy. The table below the clip captures key moments in the clip and my comments tying it to loopy behavior.
The rest of the movie shows the gradual process of Neo eventually coming to believe, with starts and stops, advances and setbacks … but he eventually transforms into “The One.” – Andy Hines
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