• Home
  • Blog
  • About
    • Bio
    • Work Experience
    • Teaching
    • Workshops and Presentations
    • Publications
    • Media & Interviews
    • Professional Activities
    • Organizations
  • Workshops
  • Speaking
  • Writing
    • Articles
  • Books
  • Contact

Hinesight

For Foresight, Use Hinesight

You are here: Home / Archives for myths

Myths and the Future

January 16, 2013 by Andy Hines Leave a Comment

Elizabeth Rudd of the Association of Professional Futurists (APF) recently shared a link to a nice piece in Strategy & Business interviewing Betty Sue Flowers on the Dueling Myths of Business. (A great benefit of being part of the APF is this spontaneous sharing of interesting leads).
Among her many qualifications, certainly a unique one in the area of myths is that she edited The Power of Myth (Doubleday, 1988), the bound record of Bill Moyers’s six-part interview with mythologist Joseph Campbell.

In the interview she talks about scenario work where she introduced two myths for the team to consider. She describes A myth is a view of the nature of reality, so prevalent that it goes unseen. Although myths are conceived by people, they can feel like they are the only reality, and they can become the context in which events are framed. The frame people follow then affects the judgments they make.

She suggests five prominent myths in play today – she used the economic and ecological ones in the aforementioned scenario project. I put together this table to for an at-a-glance view.

Myth Description Limitation
Economic myth seeks growth leads to single-line measurements of success, such as revenues, profits, and market size
Ecological myth seeks the health of a larger, interrelated system tries to take all needs into account, which can lead to gridlock
Heroic myth seeks to win in every event there are winners and losers
Religious myth seeks goodness (an ideological belief backed up by religious fervor) dissenting views are dangerous
Scientific myth seeks truth through reason resistance is deemed “emotional”

I was particularly intrigued, or perhaps gratified, to see the economic and ecological myths used in a scenario project. At our recent week-long certificate course in Strategic Foresight I did a module describing Causal Layered Analysis (CLA), in which the example I used described sustainability using CLA’s 4 layers. CLA has a “myth” layer at its foundation and I used a variation of the economic (The Earth is made for man) and ecological myth (Gaia) as the two chief views underpinning debates around sustainability. One of our students asked if you could “change” myths as a way to revision scenarios, which I thought was an impressive question in an introductory class. Indeed, yes!

While I have some time to ponder the application of the three additional myths suggested by Flowers, I couldn’t help but make another connection to some of my foresight work around values. In CLA, the next level up is World views. In ConsumerShift, I drew upon Beck’s Spiral Dynamics to suggest four prominent worldviews (and accompanying individual values) of traditional, modern, postmodern, and integral. I expanded the table above to include where I feel the worldviews and myths were most compatible, along the lines, if you held myth x, you would be likely to hold worldview Y. Three combinations were clear to me. Interestingly, a myth fitting Integral is not yet identified – is that because it isn’t developed yet? Or is it there, but just not articulated? Interesting question to ponder.

Myth Description Limitation Worldview “sympathetic” to the Myth
Economic myth seeks growth leads to single-line measurements of success, such as revenues, profits, and market size Modern
Ecological myth seeks the health of a larger, interrelated system tries to take all needs into account, which can lead to gridlock Postmodern
Heroic myth seeks to win in every event there are winners and losers  
Religious myth seeks goodness (an ideological belief backed up by religious fervor) dissenting views are dangerous Traditional
Scientific myth seeks truth through reason resistance is deemed “emotional”  

Some great food for thought! Andy Hines

Filed Under: Foresight, Values Tagged With: Betty Sue Flowers, CLA, Consumershift, foresight, myths, spiral dynamics, strategic foresight, values, worldviews

APF Association of Professional Futurists BeInkandescent change Consumershift consumer understanding consumption education energy enoughness forecast forecasting foresight future Futures Studies futurist futurists global happiness higher education Houston houston futures integral integral futures jobs modern needs need states organizational futurist postmodern professional futurist review scenario scenarios society soft path spiral dynamics strategic foresight technology thinking about the future traditional values work World Future Society world values survey Books (15)
Education (19)
Forecasting (23)
Foresight (89)
Future Hype (4)
Media (15)
Science & Technology (9)
Talks (27)
Uncategorized (1)
Values (124)
Work (19)

WP Cumulus Flash tag cloud by Roy Tanck requires Flash Player 9 or better.

RSS Hinesight

  • Modern Values Bulldozing to the Future June 17, 2013
    The full spectrum of values seemed to be in play in China in reading the Sunday New York Times. The eye-popping story was the announcement that the government is planning to move 250 million people into cities. The bulldozers are coming to clear the road for progress. For some time now, the Chinese government has […]
    Andy Hines
  • The 4 izations: Inevitabilities or Predetermineds to 2020 June 10, 2013
    I suggested four “inevitabilities” to 2020 in a recent talk on higher education. Fans of the GBN scenario approach may recall the sorting of drivers into predetermineds and uncertainties – so “predetermineds” would be their parlance.  Key caveat is that this is for the affluent nations (W1 in my parlance). Granted, if they are inevitable, […]
    Andy Hines
  • Panarchy, the Adaptive Cycle, and Change June 3, 2013
    I re-read Panarchy a while back and it’s even better the second time around! While I have pages of notes, thought I’d share three areas where it has influenced my practice. Revised our description of change. Fresh off teaching two week-long certificate courses, visions of change are dancing in my head. We introduce four aspects of […]
    Andy Hines
  • An Insider’s Guide to Foresight Consulting at World Future Society May 29, 2013
    I’m very pleased to offer the 2nd annual “Insider’s Guide To Foresight Consulting” day-long workshop at the World Future Society General Assembly on Thursday  July 18th in Chicago with my colleagues Riel Miller and Chris Carbone. This team should provide a real treat for audiences, as Riel and I did it ourselves last year and we’ve […]
    Andy Hines
  • The Houston Futures Studies program is now “Foresight” May 27, 2013
    I am happy share that we’ve changed the name of the Futures Studies program to “Foresight.” Actually, the official name of the program at the main campus was “Futures Studies in Commerce.” Without going into details, we were not big fans of the “in commerce,” as it raised questions about whether we had changed the […]
    Andy Hines
  • Within you or Without You: The “System” and the Future of Higher Education May 22, 2013
    I recently gave a talk on the future of higher education for “Technology Learning Conference” at the University of Houston-Downtown. Much of the material came from a project with a foundation exploring the future of higher education to provide context for developing a strategy for achieving its vision of significantly increasing the percentage of adults [... […]
    Andy Hines
  • Foresight success? May 13, 2013
    I did a five-minute “Little Big” at the APF “Play” Gathering on May 3rd in Orlando. I called it “A Framework for Discussing Success.” The ideas emerged from dissertation and I am planning to write a journal article on it, but for now here are the main ideas. I reviewed the foresight literature to see […]
    Andy Hines
  • 16 things that made me go hmmm at APF’s “Play” May 7, 2013
    Thought I’d share some musings from my experience at the APF “Play” gathering. Borrowing from the old C&C Factory song, here are 16 Things That Made Me Go Hmmm.(I’m not attributing as I don’t want to misquote anyone or get them in trouble) LVC for types of simulation: Live players – football practice; Virtual – people […]
    Andy Hines
  • Reflections on the Future of Cities April 29, 2013
    The Houston Futures extended family gathered for a weekend of futures fun on April 12 and 13. While a key purpose is to give students, prospective students, alums, faculty and friends a chance to socialize and network in person, there was also plenty of good discussion about the future. The topic theme on “city making” […]
    Andy Hines
  • Futurist: specialist or generalist? April 22, 2013
    A prospective student raised a question about specialization in foresight in a recent APF listserve conversation. This question is also a frequent one of our Houston Futures grad students. We discussed the question recently in Pro Seminar and did a  ”personal branding” exercise to help us think through how we want to present ourselves to […]
    Andy Hines

Categories

  • Books
  • Education
  • Forecasting
  • Foresight
  • Future Hype
  • Media
  • Science & Technology
  • Talks
  • Uncategorized
  • Values
  • Work

Return to top of page

Copyright © 2013 ·Delicious Theme on Genesis Framework · WordPress · Log in