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Anticipating [A Dozen] Surprises about the Future of Work

March 29, 2011 by Andy Hines 5 Comments

I’m pleased to be able to speak to the Department of Labor’s Employment and Training Administration (ETA) Region 4 group on Thursday at their Retooling for the Recovery conference. It’s always good news to me when government agencies are practicing foresight. The goal of the conference most directly related to me is to help stimulate thinking about how work is changing, so they can in turn rethink their training programs. What jobs? What skills? ETA’s mission is to contribute to the more efficient functioning of the U.S. labor market by providing high quality job training, employment, labor market information, and income maintenance services.

I’m doing my Thinking about the Future workshop in the morning. The closing plenary is “A Dozen Surprises about the Future of Work.” The piece will be coming out in Employment Relations Today soon. In the meantime, I’ll whet the appetite with the list.

1. Augmented Humans: Hey, that’s cheating.
2. Emerging markets rewrite the rules of work and work culture.
3. Intelligence shows up in unusual places.
4. Work now, get paid later . . . maybe.
5. Time- or project-based employment contracts begin to mainstream.
6. Fairness becomes impossible.
7. Workers prefer working to live instead of living to work.
8. Work increasingly becomes a thing you do instead of a place you go.
9. Employer-provided training disappears.
10.Nearsourcing will become preferable to outsourcing.
11.Work in the happiness society changes metrics.
12.Meet the new boss, [not the] same as the old boss
— Andy Hines

Filed Under: Talks, Work Tagged With: careers, Department of Labor, future, human resources, jobs, work

Where will training come from?

February 26, 2011 by Andy Hines Leave a Comment

Not from employers! That’s been the long-term trend. The crude joke is that training has moved from in-house to the outhouse. Does anyone remember the days when upon being hired, one was subject to a week’s worth of training? Then periodic training was not only available, but mandatory. Some may welcome the removal of mandatory, but the pendulum has swung far in the other direction, to the point that employer-provided training is increasingly scarce.

As a professor with the University of Houston’s Futures Studies program, I see the challenge being particularly acute for younger students without significant workforce experience. Their potential is not viewed as worth much — what experience do they have? It’s a classic catch-22. Thus, we try to provide internships, and have even tailored our curriculum to provide work samples as part of a portfolio that one may show a potential employer.

This development reflects the evolution of the workplace. Large training investments make sense when one is going to be with an organization for years or even a lifetime. They make less sense with the typical shorter stays of today’s employees, who jump from organization to organization, often as contractors and sometimes on a project-by-project basis.

An implication for individual workers is in learning how to creatively and cost-effectively get the training one needs, and build up a portfolio of skills on their own.

An implication for organizations and HR professionals is that instead of providing training, they may become a clearinghouse that identifies others sources for acquiring essential skills and knowledge.

I will talk more about this and other “surprises” about the future of work in the Spring issue of Employment Relations Todayin a piece called “A Dozen Surprises about the Future of Work.” Andy Hines

Filed Under: Education, Work Tagged With: Futures Studies, human resources, training, work

Which Energy Future?….Youtube Clip

December 16, 2010 by Andy Hines 2 Comments

My good friends at Harvey Nash were kind enough to post a short Youtube video clip of me after my Which Energy Future? talk, in which I synthesize the essence of the Q&A. It covers issues on the mind of human resources professionals in attendance, such as where they are likely to find energy industry talent as the industry globalizes. Andy Hines

Filed Under: Forecasting, Media, Talks Tagged With: clip, energy, Futures Studies, futurist, global, Harvey Nash, human resources, talk

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  • Within you or Without You: The “System” and the Future of Higher Education May 22, 2013
    I recently gave a talk on the future of higher education for “Technology Learning Conference” at the University of Houston-Downtown. Much of the material came from a project with a foundation exploring the future of higher education to provide context for developing a strategy for achieving its vision of significantly increasing the percentage of adults [... […]
    Andy Hines
  • Foresight success? May 13, 2013
    I did a five-minute “Little Big” at the APF “Play” Gathering on May 3rd in Orlando. I called it “A Framework for Discussing Success.” The ideas emerged from dissertation and I am planning to write a journal article on it, but for now here are the main ideas. I reviewed the foresight literature to see […]
    Andy Hines
  • 16 things that made me go hmmm at APF’s “Play” May 7, 2013
    Thought I’d share some musings from my experience at the APF “Play” gathering. Borrowing from the old C&C Factory song, here are 16 Things That Made Me Go Hmmm.(I’m not attributing as I don’t want to misquote anyone or get them in trouble) LVC for types of simulation: Live players – football practice; Virtual – people […]
    Andy Hines
  • Reflections on the Future of Cities April 29, 2013
    The Houston Futures extended family gathered for a weekend of futures fun on April 12 and 13. While a key purpose is to give students, prospective students, alums, faculty and friends a chance to socialize and network in person, there was also plenty of good discussion about the future. The topic theme on “city making” […]
    Andy Hines
  • Futurist: specialist or generalist? April 22, 2013
    A prospective student raised a question about specialization in foresight in a recent APF listserve conversation. This question is also a frequent one of our Houston Futures grad students. We discussed the question recently in Pro Seminar and did a  ”personal branding” exercise to help us think through how we want to present ourselves to […]
    Andy Hines
  • Future of Knowledge Work April 18, 2013
    I have a new article that I put together with my frequent collaborator Chris Carbone of Innovaro on the Future of Knowledge Work published in Employment Relations Today. It explores how knowledge work is being reshaped by a variety of social and technological forces that together will alter how it is distributed, organized, and performed in […]
    Andy Hines
  • Thinking about the Future….soon to be re-stocked April 16, 2013
    So sorry if you’ve gone to Amazon and seen Thinking about the Future selling for over $2,011.22. Of course, feel free to buy it at that price . Unfortunately, it recently went out of stock and I was not notified. I will re-stock when I get back in Houston on Wednesday and it will be […]
    Andy Hines
  • What do we call it? April 12, 2013
    It’s been great to hear growing interest in developing the field and profession of _______, um, what do you call it? I looked at this question in my dissertation and found it has received intermittent attention over the years (Cornish, 1977; Horton, 1999; Becker, 2002; Schwarz, 2005; Amsteus, 2008; Sardar, 2010; Masini, 2010; Marien, 2010; […]
    Andy Hines
  • Glass Houses April 5, 2013
    A great post by “The Consumerist” on a social-media driven issue on Future of Artificial Dyes in Kraft Macaroni & Cheese. Mary Beth Quirk tells the story of how two bloggers triggered an online petition with over 270,000 signatures that led to a meeting between the bloggers and Kraft. Here’s a telling quote from the […]
    Andy Hines
  • A Futurist Elevator Speech April 2, 2013
    Someone asked me recently for my elevator speech on “what is a futurist?” Basically, if someone asks you what a futurists is, what’s your 30-second response. [And we require our students in the futures studies program to do one.] I’ll confess that I am not consistent, and that there are a whole bunch of calculations I […]
    Andy Hines

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