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Great list of books on global education

September 25, 2012 by Andy Hines Leave a Comment

I was forwarded a list: 14 Best Books about Global Education [link removed per organization's request, sorry] and it is definitely worth passing on. The impact of globalization on education ought to receive more attention than it does. It’s a clearly and emerging issue of vital importance to the future. For some, it is “old hat” already — pockets of the world are all over it. Yet for so many in the mainstream of education, it is somewhat of an alien concept. This phenomenon is not unique to the issue — many times we have emerging issues entrenched in the fringe but unable to reach the core….yet, we should add. (Daresay we add Coursera and open education to this list?).

ConsumerShift readers might enjoy considering what “values types” inform the perspective being presented in these works. Are the works about how we can all learn together in win-win’s? Or is there concern or even panic about new upstarts who are going to beat us? Or practical ways to achieve the best results? Andy Hines

Filed Under: Education, Foresight, Values Tagged With: Consumershift, coursera, education, emerging issues, global, values

What’s your value-add? (Future of Work)

April 1, 2011 by Andy Hines 1 Comment

The best way for re-trainers to help their clients get back into the workforce may be to help them see their “value-add,” and then working on enhancing that value-add. That was my conclusion in preparing and then talking about the future of work in my “12 surprises” talk for the Department of Labor Employment Training Administration’s Retooling for the Recovery Forum on March 31st.

One of the big issues or challenges in the future of work is figuring out the value of information or knowledge when “information wants to be free.” Organizations are rethinking their business models as digitization provides a wealth of information, but also enables what used to be a sell-able commodity to be “free.” The search for value is focusing its eye on the contribution of workers as well. What, precisely, does one “bring to the party.” In an era of global workforces, if that value is similar to the value that someone overseas brings, but they bring it much more cheaply, then….Yep, competition will often be brutal.

At the same time, there are great opportunities for individuals to rethink and retool their individual value proposition. We talked about “the return of the crafts,” in which there is demand for products that have a personal touch and story behind them. We talked about how individuals can build a name for themselves in the blogosphere. We talked about all the continuing education and lifelong learning opportunities.

But it all stems from one key “mind change.” The assumption that has to shift is when an individual believes the world owes them a living. This is often a deeply held assumption, and for re-trainers, can be a very difficult one to challenge. But as long as it is present, my sense is that individual will struggle in the emerging world of work. Step one is to clearly assess and be aware of one’s potential contribution to projects or employers. Knowing one’s value, and understanding how that is viewed by others, is the essential beginning to positioning oneself for success in the emerging world of work. Andy Hines

Filed Under: Work Tagged With: Department of Labor, global, jobs, values, work

Which Energy Future?….Youtube Clip

December 16, 2010 by Andy Hines 2 Comments

My good friends at Harvey Nash were kind enough to post a short Youtube video clip of me after my Which Energy Future? talk, in which I synthesize the essence of the Q&A. It covers issues on the mind of human resources professionals in attendance, such as where they are likely to find energy industry talent as the industry globalizes. Andy Hines

Filed Under: Forecasting, Media, Talks Tagged With: clip, energy, Futures Studies, futurist, global, Harvey Nash, human resources, talk

Forecasting and Wild Cards with Exchange Students

November 22, 2010 by Andy Hines 19 Comments

I recently had the opportunity to spend a morning talking about the future of science and technology with some exchange students from China. I had them review some of the forecasts that my colleagues and I made in 2025: Scenarios of US and Global Society as Reshaped by Science and Technology that we wrote back in 1995, and I revisited last year in a piece “How Accurate Are Your Forecasts?” I noticed that they seemed to believe some of the developments I saw as breaking closer to 2025 were “already here.” Perhaps the optimism of students (or the pessimism of the professor) or perhaps the achievement orientation in China that is bullish on science and technology?

Another interesting aspect of the morning was their ranking of six proposed wildcards (low-probability, high-impact events) in terms of which seemed the most likely to occur, relatively speaking. They were given 100 poker chips to “bet” with. Here’s how the rankings turned out:

    Super-Longevity. Average age could increase to 100….or beyond (385 )
    Self-Assembling Nanotech. Could revolutionize manufacturing…..among other areas (313 )
    The Singularity. Machine intelligence exceeds biological intelligence by about 2045 (237)
    Global Pandemic. The world is overdue for a global pandemic, potentially coming from viruses (due to increased global travel) or the spread of antibiotic-resistant bacteria, among others (225 )
    Brain Enhancement. Advances in brain science could enable a wide range of new applications, from implants to mind reading to downloading consciousness. (155 )
    Ecosystem Collapse. Many argue that humanity is using up resources faster than they can be replenished, presaging a “collapse.” (150 )

Pretty strong belief in the stretching life expectancy and in the prospects for nanotech — interestingly, both of these views were mirrored in my undergrad class of UH students. — Andy Hines

Filed Under: Forecasting Tagged With: 2025, brain, China, ecosystem, forecast, Futures Studies, global, longevity, nanotechnology, pandemic, scenario, science, Singularity, society, technology, wildcard

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  • Modern Values Bulldozing to the Future June 17, 2013
    The full spectrum of values seemed to be in play in China in reading the Sunday New York Times. The eye-popping story was the announcement that the government is planning to move 250 million people into cities. The bulldozers are coming to clear the road for progress. For some time now, the Chinese government has […]
    Andy Hines
  • The 4 izations: Inevitabilities or Predetermineds to 2020 June 10, 2013
    I suggested four “inevitabilities” to 2020 in a recent talk on higher education. Fans of the GBN scenario approach may recall the sorting of drivers into predetermineds and uncertainties – so “predetermineds” would be their parlance.  Key caveat is that this is for the affluent nations (W1 in my parlance). Granted, if they are inevitable, […]
    Andy Hines
  • Panarchy, the Adaptive Cycle, and Change June 3, 2013
    I re-read Panarchy a while back and it’s even better the second time around! While I have pages of notes, thought I’d share three areas where it has influenced my practice. Revised our description of change. Fresh off teaching two week-long certificate courses, visions of change are dancing in my head. We introduce four aspects of […]
    Andy Hines
  • An Insider’s Guide to Foresight Consulting at World Future Society May 29, 2013
    I’m very pleased to offer the 2nd annual “Insider’s Guide To Foresight Consulting” day-long workshop at the World Future Society General Assembly on Thursday  July 18th in Chicago with my colleagues Riel Miller and Chris Carbone. This team should provide a real treat for audiences, as Riel and I did it ourselves last year and we’ve […]
    Andy Hines
  • The Houston Futures Studies program is now “Foresight” May 27, 2013
    I am happy share that we’ve changed the name of the Futures Studies program to “Foresight.” Actually, the official name of the program at the main campus was “Futures Studies in Commerce.” Without going into details, we were not big fans of the “in commerce,” as it raised questions about whether we had changed the […]
    Andy Hines
  • Within you or Without You: The “System” and the Future of Higher Education May 22, 2013
    I recently gave a talk on the future of higher education for “Technology Learning Conference” at the University of Houston-Downtown. Much of the material came from a project with a foundation exploring the future of higher education to provide context for developing a strategy for achieving its vision of significantly increasing the percentage of adults [... […]
    Andy Hines
  • Foresight success? May 13, 2013
    I did a five-minute “Little Big” at the APF “Play” Gathering on May 3rd in Orlando. I called it “A Framework for Discussing Success.” The ideas emerged from dissertation and I am planning to write a journal article on it, but for now here are the main ideas. I reviewed the foresight literature to see […]
    Andy Hines
  • 16 things that made me go hmmm at APF’s “Play” May 7, 2013
    Thought I’d share some musings from my experience at the APF “Play” gathering. Borrowing from the old C&C Factory song, here are 16 Things That Made Me Go Hmmm.(I’m not attributing as I don’t want to misquote anyone or get them in trouble) LVC for types of simulation: Live players – football practice; Virtual – people […]
    Andy Hines
  • Reflections on the Future of Cities April 29, 2013
    The Houston Futures extended family gathered for a weekend of futures fun on April 12 and 13. While a key purpose is to give students, prospective students, alums, faculty and friends a chance to socialize and network in person, there was also plenty of good discussion about the future. The topic theme on “city making” […]
    Andy Hines
  • Futurist: specialist or generalist? April 22, 2013
    A prospective student raised a question about specialization in foresight in a recent APF listserve conversation. This question is also a frequent one of our Houston Futures grad students. We discussed the question recently in Pro Seminar and did a  ”personal branding” exercise to help us think through how we want to present ourselves to […]
    Andy Hines

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