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You are here: Home / Archives for Future Hype

The role of values in interpreting values

December 6, 2012 by Andy Hines 1 Comment

Came across an interesting example of how two analysts/organizations looking at the same data can interpret it quite differently. As we’ve discussed in this blog and in ConsumerShift, one’s values/worldview influences their interpretation of events and data. A bit of irony in this case is the influence of values involves a case of interpreting a study of values. The Washington DC local affiliate of CBS reported: Study: American ‘Values’ More European Since First Obama Term. It opens with: “Although a transatlantic cultural gap still exists on certain issues, many Americans have started to think more similarly to Europeans since the beginning of President Obama’s first term.”  As I read the piece, I felt like it was aligned with a key message of  ConsumerShift that that the US is becoming more postmodern, and since Europe, particularly Northern Europe, is more postmodern than the US, it follows that US will look more like [Northern] Europe.

I figured I’d check the key source, Pew, and look at the data myself. The title of the story on the Pew site it was linked to was: “Anti-Americanism Down in Europe, but a Values Gap Persists.” Hmm, that seems a little different? The story notes: “…despite Obama’s re-election at home and continued popularity in Europe, his presidency has not closed the long-running transatlantic values gap. Instead, on issues such as the use of military force, religion, and individualism, Americans and Europeans continue to disagree.”‘

Okay, so which is it — are we getting closer or still far apart? Reading a bit more closely, it does seem to suggest that a gap persists, but there is some movement towards greater alignment. The interesting point to me was how the the two stories focused on different pieces of data that generated different headlines and emphasis. It reminds us to be ever-alert for the influence of values on interpretations, even when studying values themselves! Andy Hines

 

 

Filed Under: Future Hype, Values Tagged With: consumer understanding, Consumershift, europe, Pew Center, postmodern, values

The “New Normal” Obscures the Point

January 8, 2011 by Andy Hines Leave a Comment

This popular phrase, which my old firm considered as a title for a multi-client meeting in 2009, may be giving us the wrong impression. We went instead with “New Dimensions,” as we felt the New Normal provided a kind of false comfort that things were going to settle into a different, but entirely recognizable pattern. Basically, the future would be like the recent past, only less.

There is an element of truth to that, but it is a one-dimensional view, fixated on economics. For instance, a recent Business Week story, The New Normal Is So Normal, is focused entirely on the economic aspect. It represents what should be a new wave of “new normal” debunking stories that should soon be arriving with a message that the New Normal is bunk, and we’ll be returning to the “old normal” soon.

Regardless of which “normal” one believes in, the point is that the issue has been framed to over-emphasize the economic aspect. We used the “New Dimensions” idea to suggest greater changes were afoot. In particular, the slowly emerging shift to postmodern values, which suggests a consumption ethos of less, of feeling a sense of enough, of a desire to get back control of one’s time and life, of an emerging sense of sustainability, of a preference for the experience over material goods — these long-term changes have been underway for a generation, thus my belief that the current emphasis on the state of the economy may be obscuring them. Andy Hines

Filed Under: Future Hype, Values Tagged With: consumers, economy, enoughness, experiences, new normal, sustainaibility, values

Fear of the Future….Results from No Image of the Future

November 4, 2010 by Andy Hines Leave a Comment

A piece from the beloved Fox News arrived in my inbox–It’s Fear Over Our Country’s Future That’s Driving the Tea Party Movement. For once, I agree….sort of. I suggest that the fear transcends current politics. I’m reminded of one of the first futures books I read, way back when I was an undergraduate at Salem State College just discovered the field of futures studies: Fred Polak‘s The Image of the Future. The book came out in the 1970s, translated from Dutch, with the thesis that key driver behind the rise and fall of civilizations was the presence or absence of a compelling image of the future. He concluded that a key problem of contemporary society was the absence of such an image. Fast forwarding to the present, that absence remains.– Andy Hines

Filed Under: Future Hype Tagged With: Fox News, future, Futures Studies, image, Polak, Tea Party

Un-natural headline

November 2, 2010 by Andy Hines Leave a Comment

The Nov-Dec issue of The Futurist has a news item “Downside of Demand for ‘Natural’ Food.” Beside the inclusion of downside in the headline, another clue that this item, or rather its authors, has an agenda is the use of quotes around the word natural. Granted, there is debate over just what natural means in terms of foods, but having been following the space for many years, I’ve learned to recognize when an “anti” piece is coming. Okay, still nothing earth-shattering, right?

Here’s what “grinds my gears.” The item notes that acetic acid is used as a preservative in items such as dressings and pickles. “However, when the amount of acetic acid used is too small, it actually ‘stresses’ the existing bacteria into increasing production of toxins.” Okay, so where is the evidence that a natural dressing or pickle would be using less acetic acid? Really? My sense is that it would not be using it at all, if it is natural. Granted, there are cases where the natural label is abused. But if that’s the case, the problem is not natural foods, but shady practices. Now in fairness to Lund University, where the research being reported on comes from, it could simply be a headline writer seeking to attract readers. We gravitate to provocative headlines. I’ll be taking on some of these practices and trying to clarify the hype in terms of issues relating to the future. Stay tuned. — Andy Hines

Filed Under: Future Hype Tagged With: food, future, natural, natural food

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